PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING SYSTEM OF STORM SURGE USING A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL

Yoshimitsu Tajima; Yukimasa Higaki

doi:10.9753/icce.v37.management.154

No. 37 (2022), Coastal Management, Environment, and Risk

No. 37 (2022)

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING SYSTEM OF STORM SURGE USING A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL

Coastal Management, Environment, and Risk

Published 2023-09-01

Yoshimitsu Tajima
Yukimasa Higaki

Yoshimitsu Tajima

Yukimasa Higaki

PDF

How to Cite

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING SYSTEM OF STORM SURGE USING A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL. (2023). Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 37, management.154. https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v37.management.154

Abstract

This paper presents a newly developed real time probabilistic forecasting system of storm surge at an arbitrary target location when a typhoon is formed and approaches to the location. Such probabilistic information may be essential for business or public entities along the coast who need to make appropriate decision to what extent they should break their daily operations and prepare for the upcoming coastal hazard. Developed system, based on Monte Carlo simulation, consists of two parts: (i) generation of a number of virtual typhoons; and (ii) storm surge prediction for each typhoon.

PDF

References

Higaki, Y. & Y. Tajima (2020): Study on the applicability of a stochastic typhoon model for probabilistic forecasting of storm surge induced by a typhoon, Coast. Eng. J., doi:10.1080/21664250.2020.1828015

Igarashi, Y. & Y. Tajima (2021): Application of recurrent neural network for prediction of the time-varying storm surge, Coast. Eng. J., doi:10.1080/21664250.2020. 1868736

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Dilan Rathnayaka, Yoshiaki Kuriyama, Yoshimitsu Tajima, MEDIUM-TERM VARIATION OF BAR MOVEMENT AND ITS LINKAGE TO WAVE CLIMATE , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 36 (2018): Proceedings of 36th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Baltimore, Maryland, 2018
Hiroshi Sanuki, Tomohiro Takagawa, Yoshimitsu Tajima, Shinji Sato, ANALYSIS OF FLOODING DIRECTIONS OF THE 2011 EARTHQUAKE TOHOKU TSUNAMI , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 34 (2014): Proceedings of 34th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Seoul, Korea, 2014
Yoshimitsu Tajima, NUMERICAL STUDY ON ACCUMULATION MECHANISM OF CORAL GRAVELS AROUND BALLAST ISLAND, THE CORAL CAY OFF THE COAST OF IRIOMOTE ISLAND , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 36 (2018): Proceedings of 36th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Baltimore, Maryland, 2018
Yoshimitsu Tajima, IMAGE-BASED FIELD OBSERVATION OF INFRAGRAVITY WAVES ALONG THE SWASH ZONE , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 34 (2014): Proceedings of 34th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Seoul, Korea, 2014
Lilei Mao, Jiabo Li, Yoshimitsu Tajima, Takenori Shimozono, EFFECT OF GRAIN SHAPE ON BEDLOAD TRANSPORT OF CORAL GRAVELS UNDER TURBULENT FLOW , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 37 (2022): Proceedings of 37th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Sydney, Australia, 2022
Zuorui Lyu, Nobuhito Mori, Hiroaki Kashima, Yoshimitsu Tajima, THE OCCURRENCE OF EXTREME WAVE HEIGHT IN A TWO-DIMENSIONAL RANDOM WAVEFIELD IN COASTAL AREA , Coastal Engineering Proceedings: No. 37 (2022): Proceedings of 37th Conference on Coastal Engineering, Sydney, Australia, 2022

<< < 1 2

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING SYSTEM OF STORM SURGE USING A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL

How to Cite

Download Citation

Abstract

References

Most read articles by the same author(s)