DETERMINATION OF COMBINED PROBABILITIES OF OCCURRENCE OF WATER LEVELS AND WAVE HEIGHTS FOR THE SAFETY OF DIKES AT THE BALTIC SEA
No. 35 (2016), Coastal Management, Environment, and Risk
No. 35 (2016)

DETERMINATION OF COMBINED PROBABILITIES OF OCCURRENCE OF WATER LEVELS AND WAVE HEIGHTS FOR THE SAFETY OF DIKES AT THE BALTIC SEA

Coastal Management, Environment, and Risk
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v35.management.6
Published 2017-06-23
Christian Kaehler
Chair of Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering University of Rostock
Christian Schlamkow
Chair of Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering University of Rostock
Fokke Saathoff
Chair of Geotechnics and Coastal Engineering University of Rostock
ICCE 2016 Cover Image
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Keywords

Copula
Combined probability
Risk management
Sea state modelling
Extreme value theory

How to Cite

Kaehler, C., Schlamkow, C., & Saathoff, F. (2017). DETERMINATION OF COMBINED PROBABILITIES OF OCCURRENCE OF WATER LEVELS AND WAVE HEIGHTS FOR THE SAFETY OF DIKES AT THE BALTIC SEA. Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(35), management.6. https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v35.management.6
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Abstract

Large parts of the Baltic Sea coast in Germany are protected by dikes against storm surges and floods. The dikes are designed to resist storm surges and floods, also taking into consideration of climate changes and sea level rise. To ensure the protective function the safety standards of the dikes are validated in regular intervals. This paper presents an approach to determine combined probabilities of occurrence of water level and wave heights for three selected sections. The probabilities of occurrence for defined return periods have been calculated by comparing several Copula models from the Archimedean Copula family.
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v35.management.6
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References

Multivariate Modeling with Copulas and Engineering Applications, Springer Handbook

A high resolution spherical grid topography of the Baltic Sea -

nd edition

Sampling Archimedean copulas, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

Untersuchungen zur Festlegung von Bemessungswerten auf der Grundlage kombinierter Eintritswahrscheinlichkeiten

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