ESTIMATING ERROR OF COASTAL STAGE FREQUENCY CURVES

Mark D. Prater; Thomas A. Hardy; H. Lee Butler; Leon E. Borgman

doi:10.9753/icce.v19.11

No. 19 (1984), Conference Proceedings

No. 19 (1984)

ESTIMATING ERROR OF COASTAL STAGE FREQUENCY CURVES

Conference Proceedings

Published 1984-01-29

Mark D. Prater⁺⁻
Thomas A. Hardy⁺⁻
H. Lee Butler⁺⁻
Leon E. Borgman⁺⁻

Mark D. Prater

Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U. S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P. 0. Box 631, Vicksburg

Thomas A. Hardy

Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U. S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P. 0. Box 631, Vicksburg

H. Lee Butler

Coastal Processes Branch, Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U. S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P. 0. Box 631, Vicksburg

Leon E. Borgman

Department of Statistics, University of Wyoming

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Keywords

frequency curve
error
error estimation

How to Cite

ESTIMATING ERROR OF COASTAL STAGE FREQUENCY CURVES. (1984). Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(19), 11. https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v19.11

Abstract

A computer intensive statistical procedure known as the bootstrap has been used to estimate the error in coastal stage-frequency relationships due to uncertainties in hurricane meteorological distributions. These stage-frequency relationships are developed through the use of a joint probability method, so that the probability of a storm event is the product of the probabilities of the individual independent components which comprise that storm event. The bootstrap technique provides an estimate of the error of the stage-frequency by determining the variation possible in each component's probability distribution. This variability is due to the construction of the distribution from a finite set of historical events. An example of the bootstrap is given and stage frequency results and error estimates typical of a coastal region are shown.

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ESTIMATING ERROR OF COASTAL STAGE FREQUENCY CURVES

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