ICCE 2018 Cover Image

Supplementary Files

Conference Presentation File

How to Cite

Solari, S., & Losada, M. A. (2018). SIMULATION OF SEA STORMS INCLUDING MULTIVARIATE STORM EVOLUTION. Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(36), papers.35.


A new method for the simulation of storms is proposed which takes into account the multivariate evolution of the storms, allowing to innovate in the form of each simulated storm, for all the variables involved. The method is based on two novel aspects: (a) measured storms are grouped using clusters techniques and a set of average evolution forms is defined for each cluster, one for each of the variables involved, and (b) a Vector Autoregressive model is fitted to the differences between the average evolution of each variable and the actual measured evolutions. The ability of the methodology to properly reproduce the joint probability distribution of all the variables involved is demonstrated for a case study at the mid Rio de la Plata northern coast.


Baquerizo A., Losada, M.A., 2008. Human interaction with large scale coastal morphological evolution. An assessment of the uncertainty. Coastal Engineering 55, pp 569-580.

Boccotti, P., 2000. Wave mechanics for ocean engineering. Elsevier Science, Oxford

Borgman, L.E., 1973. Probabilities for highest wave in hurricane. Journal of Waterway Port Coastal and Ocean Engineering 99, 185-207.

Castillo, E., Losada, M:A: and Puig-Pey, J., 1977, Análisis probabilista del número de olas y su influencia en la altura de ola de cálculo de las de obras marítimas, Revista de Obras Públicas, pp 639-645 (in spanish).

Davies, G., D.P. Callaghan, U. Gravios, W. Jiang, D. Hanslow, S. Nichol, T.E. Baldock, 2017. Improved treatment of non-stationary conditions and uncertainties in probabilistic models of storm wave climate, Coast. Eng. 127 1-19. doi:10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.06.005.

De Michele, C., G. Salvadori, G. Passoni, R. Vezzoli, 2007. A multivariate model of sea storms using copulas, Coast. Eng. 54, 734-751. doi:10.1016/j.coastaleng.2007.05.007.

Li, F., van Gelder, P. H. A. J. M., Ranasinghe, R., Callaghan, D. P., & Jongejan, R. B., 2014. Probabilistic modelling of extreme storms along the Dutch coast. Coastal Engineering, 86, 1-13.

Martín-Hidalgo, M., Martín-Soldevilla, M.J., Negro, V., Aberturas, P., López-Gutiérrez, J.S., 2014. Storm evolution characterization for analysing stone armour damage progres- sion. Coastal Engineering 85, 1-11.

Payo A., Baquerizo, A and M.A. Losada, 2004. Uncertainty assesment of longterm shoreline prediction, 29th ICCE Proc., Vol.2, pp 2087-2096

Payo, A. Baqueizo, A. and M.A: Losada, 2008. Uncertainty assessment: Application to the shoreline, Journal of Hydraulic Research Vol. 46, Extra Issue 1, pp. 96-104

ROM 0.0-01, 2001. General Procedure & Requirements for Design of Maritime & Harbour Structures (Part I); Puertos del Estado, Spain

ROM 1.0-09, 2009. Breakwaters Recommendations (Part I: Calculation and Project Factors. Climatic Agents); Puertos del Estado, Spain.

Solari, S., L. Teixeira, I. Piedra-Cueva, 2014. Stochastic extreme waves generator for the mid Rio de la Plata estuary northern coasts, in: Proc. Coast. Eng. Conf., 2014.

Solari, S., P.H.A.J.M. Van Gelder, 2011. On the use of vector autoregressive (VAR) and Regime Switching VAR models for the simulation of sea and wind state parameters, in: Marine Technology and Engineering.

Authors retain copyright and grant the Proceedings right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this Proceedings.